Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $192.61
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Polymarket Trader
0x7047AA2ba3D2bE1c15F07a139C571a3FB1f431b3-1768274497941
0x7047aa2ba3d2be1c15f07a139c571a3fb1f431b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.39
- Realized PnL
- $484.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $192.52
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $92.91
- Potential profit
- $92.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $25.25
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $19.18
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $7.87
- Potential payout
- $15.74
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $12.13
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $7.53
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.46
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.97
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $3.47
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $1.48
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.42
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
PARIVISION position
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
Auger-Aliassime position
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cilic
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-20.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
BOMBA Team position
Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 30?Yes 0.1% 90 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 29?Yes 0.1% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?Yes 0.8% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?Yes 0.1% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?Yes 0.3% 386 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 30?Yes 0.1% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 29?Yes 0.3% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?Yes 7.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?Yes 0.9% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 30?Yes 0.3% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?Yes 0.7% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?Yes 0.3% 193 shares