Polymarket Trader

aarb11

0x7048dbffc463091b8d5c75af288d57f472675d0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.95
Realized PnL: -$1.37
Win rate: 57.9%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $6.51
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Rockets position

76ers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Wizards

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Boca Juniors position

Boca Juniors vs. Independiente de Oliva

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Athletics position

Athletics vs. New York Mets

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Wizards

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Milwaukee Brewers position

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

St. Louis Cardinals position

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Ben Shelton position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.6% 6.51 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 6.67 shares
Boca Juniors vs. Independiente de Oliva

Boca Juniors 99.9% 2.3 shares
Boca Juniors vs. Independiente de Oliva

Boca Juniors 78% 2.29 shares
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 99.9% 1.56 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 45% 2.15 shares
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 62% 1.58 shares
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 63% 1.55 shares
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees 60% 1.63 shares
Athletics vs. New York Mets

Athletics 67% 1.46 shares
76ers vs. Rockets

Rockets 62% 1.99 shares
Bulls vs. Wizards

Bulls 70% 1.75 shares