Polymarket Trader

0x704d...5e69

0x704ddd78ec779a5c731645fe423d921f3db25e69

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $218.66
Realized PnL: $130.61
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $493.83
Potential profit: $453.58
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.87
Potential profit: $83.87
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $78.6
Potential payout: $78.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $48.6

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.57
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.77

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $12.61
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.52
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $11.06
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $10.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29.94

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 35% 28.57 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Yes 79.3% 12.61 shares
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Yes 98.3% 11.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 95% 24.7 shares
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

No 97.5% 10.52 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 11.36 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 97.6% 9.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 198.41 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.3% 11.36 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 39% 25.64 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.2% 83.1 shares