No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $100.23
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.71
Polymarket Trader
Geraldinert
@PeggyOs71808520
0x7065d2684596f8a7754ca9d8ce4f9615121abde7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.54K
- Realized PnL
- $186.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $114.29
- User PnL
- -$24
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.4
- Potential payout
- $99.7
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.21
- Potential profit
- $28.21
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.59
- Potential profit
- $21.59
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.58
- Potential profit
- $17.58
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.51
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No 99.3% 99.7 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93% 1,541.94 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.9% 21.42 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98% 21.43 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.1% 1,484.2 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 1,444.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.3% 1,444.11 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.9% 1,336.07 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Yes 95% 27.37 shares
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 78% 28.21 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 86% 139.53 shares
- Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes 89% 24.94 shares