Polymarket Trader

0x7076063037766921827aeD0F900efaB85080586d-1779489287843

0x7076063037766921827aed0f900efab85080586d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.63
Realized PnL: $161.68
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $98.29
Potential payout: $162.47
Potential profit: $64.17
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $25.29

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $88.18
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.44
Potential profit: $74.44
User PnL: -$53

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.65
Potential profit: $56.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.33
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.44
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.43
Potential profit: $36.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $28.51
Potential profit: $27.86
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.73
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will there be at least 2140 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $22.84
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.09
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.57

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.47

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $13.76

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.12

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 3.3% 90.91 shares
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.2% 100 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

No 45% 13.33 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Yes 10% 28.57 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 2.4% 106.38 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

No 44.9% 149.13 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 12% 317.85 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 26.9% 108.85 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 72.7% 22.01 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 18% 50 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 71.1% 2.81 shares