No position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.3%
- Current value
- $229.03
- Potential payout
- $517
- Potential profit
- $287.97
- Multiplier
- 2.26x
- User PnL
- $111.16
Polymarket Trader
MichaelRuiz4272
@DemandC4865131
0x708667bec1e65f2aae8bae1e758ffa07be60f376
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $486.33
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $251.4
- Potential payout
- $367
- Potential profit
- $115.6
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $16.52
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.79
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $316.71
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.92
Yes position
Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-03-06?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.18
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.75
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.61
No position
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.69
Yes position
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.36
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.76
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.36
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $74.69
No position
Will between 5500-6000 US flights be delayed on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.36
No position
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.74
Yes position
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.35
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $49.21
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.15
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Yes position
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.92
Yes position
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 44% 20 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 67% 1,176 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 74% 1,176 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 57% 792 shares
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No 54% 320 shares
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No 54% 142 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64% 367 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 56% 792 shares
- Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?No 22.8% 517 shares
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No 15% 462 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 79% 271 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 79% 269 shares