Polymarket Trader

0x709179E7392e59922Ab2D73cb1141698b30096f8-1773173619816

0x709179e7392e59922ab2d73cb1141698b30096f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $296.86
Realized PnL: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.85
Potential payout: $85.69
Potential profit: $69.84
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $82.28
Potential profit: $81.79
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$47.03

No position

Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $59.09
Potential payout: $73.86
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $25.59
Potential payout: $66.47
Potential profit: $40.88
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.49
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Reds clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $59.46
Potential profit: $52.62
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.49

No position

Japan recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $48.24
Potential payout: $56.42
Potential profit: $8.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $42.46
Multiplier: 4.39x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $54.48
Potential profit: $52.44
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$7.19

Yes position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $37.45
Potential profit: $33.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.74
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.55
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.95
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.66
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.98
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$2.58

No position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $23.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.94
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $21.61
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

No 99.6% 26.2 shares
Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?

Yes 42% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 48.1% 180 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Up 49% 54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Down 49% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Down 48% 180 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 48% 180 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 49% 98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 49% 72.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down 48.2% 94.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 49% 32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 48% 180 shares