Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.95K
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $850
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $870.01
Polymarket Trader
gin-huang
0x709e3ea86a900aa3fb7a998d06e20d6ce68d027d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.5K
- Realized PnL
- $6.54K
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$267.85
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $230
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $28.01
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.88
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $529.08
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $40.28
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 21.5% 1,585.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50.4% 5,857.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83.6% 6,330.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 469.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.9% 1,585.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 35% 1,714.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 70% 909.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 50.7% 10,978.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 44% 909.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39.6% 2,522.83 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 96.4% 3,505.86 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95% 8,417.01 shares