Polymarket Trader

centuryd11

0x70a51ce4cf6a211368ec3081b9d8bd1effaf8dd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.13
Realized PnL: $25.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $530.38
Potential profit: $524.01
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $35.07
Potential profit: $22.31
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $5.23

Over position

Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$6.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18
Potential profit: $2.18
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 98% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 530.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 29.1% 4.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 20.9% 21.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 47% 13.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 18.9% 8.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 90% 1.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 63% 1.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 25.3% 4.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 44% 2.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 82% 1.44 shares