No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $62.12K
- Potential payout
- $72.74K
- Potential profit
- $10.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $615.57
Polymarket Trader
troxa
0x70a795a52d0d6c5d6b5b670a9eca300c66d1b884
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.92K
- Realized PnL
- $5.05K
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $363.1
- Potential payout
- $25.04K
- Potential profit
- $24.68K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $51.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.93
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $339.87
No position
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.68
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.01
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$89.71
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$124.99
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$256.53
Yes position
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$280
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic CEO arrested?No 98.3% 40.37 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.2% 5,350.56 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.6% 11,937.5 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.3% 3,964.77 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.8% 579.69 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.2% 1,299.93 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.7% 625.85 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.4% 300 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.3% 45.61 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.1% 11.99 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83% 10 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83.8% 1,722.04 shares