Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.93K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$105
Polymarket Trader
butterbrot
0x70ad3c12fa92a97e1c387ab594e645d940a3f1df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.38K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $524.67
- Potential payout
- $9.99K
- Potential profit
- $9.47K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$26.37
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.88K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$23.11
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.78K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $51.57
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $742.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $218.41
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $677.23
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $180.58
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $103.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $211.01
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$36.33
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $277
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$57.15
Yes position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $25.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $974.6
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $945.5
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$31.79
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $267
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $259.2
- Potential profit
- $255.18
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $60.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.24
Yes position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.41
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.2
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $53.39
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $47.3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.53
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.82
Yes position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $25.7
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.85
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.11
No position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 92% 38.04 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.1% 900 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 2,000 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 1,100 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12% 900 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 500 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 20,000 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 96% 8 shares