Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Polymarket Trader
0x70b5...6216
0x70b5df16befa3c9e8f4664a824a795a60ab66216
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $104.95
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $951.67
- Potential profit
- $947.86
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $149.38
- Potential profit
- $143.78
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $148.26
- Potential profit
- $144.85
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $108.87
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $113.8
- Potential profit
- $103.56
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $53.63
- Potential profit
- $46.98
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $43.92
- Potential profit
- $38.43
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $42.27
- Potential profit
- $35.83
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $40.14
- Potential profit
- $34.58
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $16.14
- Potential payout
- $31.96
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $28.86
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $27.12
- Potential profit
- $21.77
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $22.31
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.3% 248.46 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 24.1% 14.77 shares
- Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.2% 475 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.3% 28.86 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 113.8 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes 93.5% 6.07 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 37.9% 14.78 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 3.8% 149.38 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.6% 853 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 114 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 10.2% 53.63 shares