No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- $15.7
Polymarket Trader
ZebraScope
0x70c3838e1f8879bdd44a360debef2ac3e36d3041
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42K
- Realized PnL
- $391.3
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.16
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.84
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.29
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.64
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.1
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.2% 1,239.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 2,403.07 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,400.66 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 99.6% 2,386.2 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99.8% 2,377.07 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.9% 1,673.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.2% 492.57 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 2,135.37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,114.08 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.9% 2,095.07 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 97.7% 2,065.88 shares
- Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)No 98.4% 2,018.37 shares