Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $377.61
- Potential profit
- $370.82
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Polymarket Trader
gdragon88
0x70c74a142e59f1ba9abcac481e7c51b97afc92fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.84
- Realized PnL
- $260.93
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $246.91
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $109.36
- Potential payout
- $119.19
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.36
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $78.17
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $69.24
- Potential profit
- $60.58
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $17.35
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $41.47
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.48
- Potential profit
- $49.48
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $22.77
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $42.19
- Potential profit
- $27.7
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $4.49
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $19.85
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.63
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $14.07
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.04
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.67
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.54
Yes position
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?No 47% 21.28 shares
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico 47% 42.55 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 67% 29.85 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?No 17% 58.82 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 17% 111.11 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No 42% 47.62 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland 65.7% 30.42 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2.6% 377.61 shares