TANGO853

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $51.54
Potential payout: $103.09K
Potential profit: $103.04K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.54

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $60.29K
Potential profit: $58.93K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $633.01

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $231.6
Potential payout: $51.47K
Potential profit: $51.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$416.73

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $169.99
Potential payout: $10.3K
Potential profit: $10.13K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$46.36

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$37.51

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $285.05
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $209.8
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$37.83

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $847.34
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $652.64
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $334.8
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$112.53

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $93.55
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $48.08
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$25.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $68.37
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $959.75
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$22.1

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $43.68
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $974.58
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $110
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $890
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $29.07
Potential payout: $514.6
Potential profit: $485.53
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $65.65
Potential payout: $510.9
Potential profit: $445.25
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $41.59
Potential payout: $510.29
Potential profit: $468.7
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$10.66

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $253.2
Potential payout: $506.4
Potential profit: $253.2
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$46.32

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $417.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $58.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $441.25
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $15.75

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $11.12
Potential payout: $390.1
Potential profit: $378.98
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $82.59
Potential payout: $337.11
Potential profit: $254.52
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$15.96

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $36.01
Potential payout: $313.15
Potential profit: $277.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $310.51
Potential profit: $288.77
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$3.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.56

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.13

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.58

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

No position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $57.1

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.39

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.2

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.51

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.74

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.29

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $25.69

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $19.1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $18.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.13

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?