Polymarket Trader

luliuliu

0x70e56d08c7c0ffd4410f50e42d2749743c13649c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.67K
Realized PnL: $993.71
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $143.52
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $143.52

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $127.86
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $27.15

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $357.97
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234
Potential profit: $234
User PnL: -$194.22

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$152

Yes position

Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $125.23
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $24.75
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $45.59
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $34.41
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$8.81

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.02
Potential profit: $76.02
User PnL: -$69.18

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.84
Potential profit: $49.84
User PnL: -$33.39

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $38.13
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$24.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

Yes position

Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.52

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.2

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.14

Yes position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.15

Yes position

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.81

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.51

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.55

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 14% 150 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 99.99 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 57% 87.72 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 44% 20 shares
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 85% 29 shares
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.5% 199.99 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 100 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 72% 100 shares