Polymarket Trader

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0x70f2e86c1ec16dd16342e75adaf616e403f265a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $108.38
Realized PnL: $63.3
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $9.2
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

No position

Will Trump say "BRICS" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

No position

Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

No 73% 52 shares
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 98.7% 6.51 shares
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 6 shares
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

No 77% 6 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 6 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 1.69 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 64% 6 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 6 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 84% 6 shares
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

No 80% 6 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

No 96% 5 shares
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

No 99.6% 8.09 shares