Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.36K
Polymarket Trader
Nebula-Croissant
0x711cf2d57de4c9aa53dd2c0bff3a2bf818688495
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $53.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.36K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.01
No position
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.67
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.36
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.21
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.65
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.62
Yes position
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.14
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.55
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.85
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.66
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $510.97
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.05
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $483.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.86
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.82
Yes position
Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No 1.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No 13.1% 266.43 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No 13.1% 7.63 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No 12.2% 409.84 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?No 18.4% 136.11 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 16.7% 497.24 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 13% 25 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 13% 25 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 13% 84.42 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 71% 238.88 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 71% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes 76% 30 shares