chill.odds

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.45K
Potential profit: $5.45K
User PnL: -$226.09

Yes position

Will Trump issue 200 or more executive orders in first week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $4.66K
User PnL: -$67.91

Yes position

Will Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.55K
User PnL: -$15.31

Yes position

Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $3.77K
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Three Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$309.98

Yes position

Will Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue 28-30 executive orders in his first week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $959.81
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $232.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $804.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions position

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Little Rock Trojans position

Little Rock Trojans vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517
Potential profit: $517
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334
Potential profit: $334
User PnL: -$10.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.24

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.66

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.9

Yes position

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.98

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.09

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.11

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.5

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

Suns position

Suns vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Raptors

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

West Virginia position

West Virginia vs. Houston

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.46

Yes position

Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.26

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.26

No position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.66

No position

Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.4

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?