Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $33.25
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $13.05
Polymarket Trader
0x7130...5387
0x7130014ced1559f3fb7565524873878e94635387
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $509.39
- Realized PnL
- $454.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $161.63
- Potential payout
- $250.58
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $55.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $131.81
- Potential payout
- $141.73
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $80.77
- Potential payout
- $96.16
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $6.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $30.83
- Potential payout
- $35.65
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $22.74
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $21.62
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $17.57
- Potential profit
- $16.98
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $13.63
- Potential profit
- $12.04
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.67
- Potential payout
- $13.34
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.86
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $45.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.72
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Over position
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Boston Red Sox position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
LGD Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Spurs position
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Over position
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Colorado Rockies position
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Over position
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 1.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 1.17 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 1.12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 1.12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 1.12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 1.12 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 5.73 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 0.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 1.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 1.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 1.17 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 0.02 shares