Polymarket Trader

0x7130Ec6Ea62FC815bF6D2f5bc907abbb03EC70e4-1767477355682

0x7130ec6ea62fc815bf6d2f5bc907abbb03ec70e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $455.9
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $3.88K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $153.04
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$196.96

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $99.24
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$102.75

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$118

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969.23
Potential profit: $969.23
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $84.81
Potential payout: $892.74
Potential profit: $807.93
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$415.19

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $55.49
Potential payout: $873.94
Potential profit: $818.44
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$94.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $779.54
Potential profit: $779.54
User PnL: -$144

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.86
Potential profit: $769.86
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $32.46
Potential payout: $729.5
Potential profit: $697.04
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$25.9

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $640.23
Potential profit: $632.86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$92.64

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $604.51
Potential profit: $603
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$98.49

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511
Potential profit: $511
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $486.01
Potential profit: $483.34
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$97.33

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.63
Potential profit: $240.63
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $154.38
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$23.13

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $17.42
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $134.09
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$32.58

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.83
Potential profit: $131.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.58

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.76

Yes position

Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

No position

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 23.8% 419.39 shares
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 20.6% 486.01 shares
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 16.5% 604.51 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 15.6% 640.23 shares
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 13% 769.86 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 17.4% 864.03 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11.6% 1,291.02 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Yes 2% 5,000 shares
Will the US strike Iran next?

Yes 5.2% 3,876.75 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 56% 892.74 shares
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?

Yes 8.9% 677.56 shares