Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $10.52K
- Potential profit
- $8.35K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$641.89
Polymarket Trader
JourneyerJohn
0x71462f99969624abfcdc7d2e67a4b226995d0978
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.74K
- Realized PnL
- $3.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $178.58
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$580.42
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $220.11
- Potential payout
- $830.62
- Potential profit
- $610.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $20.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $571.07
- Potential profit
- $570.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$199.71
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $463.16
- Potential profit
- $419.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $446.81
- Potential profit
- $432.29
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.72
- Potential profit
- $425.72
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $376.75
- Potential profit
- $356.41
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $21.04
- Potential payout
- $326.18
- Potential profit
- $305.14
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $205.33
- Potential profit
- $195.99
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $14.15
- Potential payout
- $176.92
- Potential profit
- $162.77
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.36
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $24.82
- Potential payout
- $128.95
- Potential profit
- $104.12
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.88
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.63
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $123.06
- Potential profit
- $122.88
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $116.29
- Potential profit
- $111.34
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.28
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.86
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.14
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.22
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.63
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.65
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
No position
Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.44
No position
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.34
Yes position
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.19
Yes position
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39
No position
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Norway position
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares
- James Comey mugshot released by May 5?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.3% 116.28 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.8% 3.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes 6% 16.2 shares
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-22?Yes 4% 24.28 shares
- Suns vs. ThunderSuns 9% 10.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 6% 33.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 150 shares