Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $1.25M
- Potential profit
- $1.25M
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$625
Polymarket Trader
pada
0x714a685b5454ea4d52979563bbafa77b8168ab2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.24K
- Realized PnL
- $58.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $23.4K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $376.6K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$747.6
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.51K
- Potential payout
- $246.31K
- Potential profit
- $238.79K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $45.9K
- Potential payout
- $135K
- Potential profit
- $89.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $58.35K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.8%
- Current value
- $27.9K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $12.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.61K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$6.82K
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$354.03
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$105.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $19.5K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.22K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $987.97
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $761.16
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.91
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.15
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.55
No position
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.01
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.51
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.53
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
No position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,250,000 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71.1% 573 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.8% 124.5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34.5% 41,240.04 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71.5% 500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71.5% 600 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71.8% 5,500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.8% 456.39 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 35.5% 25,060 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34% 1,220 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 33% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22.2% 10,129.94 shares