Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Factor123
0x7150480445287e3df4286fbcaab18f64091594f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.64
- Realized PnL
- $73.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $832.66
- Potential profit
- $832.66
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.56
- Potential profit
- $144.56
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.5
- Potential profit
- $144.5
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $108.58
- Potential profit
- $108.42
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will the fight end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.47
- Potential profit
- $99.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.95
- Potential profit
- $68.95
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $51.13
- Potential profit
- $46.27
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.28
- Potential profit
- $46.28
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$7.38
49ers position
Seahawks vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.12
- Potential profit
- $39.12
- User PnL
- -$12.36
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.82
- Potential profit
- $37.82
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $34.82
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $30.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $25.68
- Potential profit
- $19.6
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.48
- Potential profit
- $25.48
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jake Paul walk out to 23 by Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Panthers position
Kings vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Under position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes 17% 10.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?Yes 87.9% 11.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?Yes 12.6% 7.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?Yes 2.8% 18.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?Yes 28% 5.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?Yes 24% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?Yes 15.4% 6.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 27?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?Yes 30.5% 9.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?Yes 26.7% 18.7 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 55% 12.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 26?Yes 22% 4.55 shares