No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.02K
- Potential profit
- $435.02K
- User PnL
- -$309.81K
Polymarket Trader
Radar
0x71587aff3d063868a086574dcf9a86ab153a5439
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- -$21.55K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.09K
- Potential profit
- $138.09K
- User PnL
- -$108.24K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.77K
- Potential profit
- $113.77K
- User PnL
- -$61.87K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.05K
- Potential profit
- $65.05K
- User PnL
- -$61.47K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.55K
- Potential profit
- $54.55K
- User PnL
- -$35.99K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.6K
- Potential profit
- $26.6K
- User PnL
- -$10.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.32K
- Potential profit
- $21.32K
- User PnL
- -$5K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $62.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $143.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.95K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.5K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 4.1% 2,871.06 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 8.4% 22,856.45 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 4.7% 29,303.14 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 2% 31,113.79 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 4.7% 41,182.79 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 2.7% 10,371.26 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 4.2% 17,599.48 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 4% 14,575.82 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 4.4% 22,580.1 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 5.2% 19,554.98 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 6.1% 7,933.54 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 7.4% 10,171.21 shares