Polymarket Trader

0x876a634412cdc3dd8b4f40c8db1fb3e3370ef4f0

0x716362c2122a79b571ae632a04f5e934cf4f886f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.74K
Realized PnL: $5.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$21.49

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $273.61
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$7.24

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $667
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $10.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $805.6
Potential profit: $805.6
User PnL: -$262.93

Kings position

Nuggets vs. Kings

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$140

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.9
Potential profit: $399.9
User PnL: -$12.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.96
Potential profit: $395.96
User PnL: -$191.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.32
Potential profit: $379.32
User PnL: -$170.82

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$171

Nets position

Nets vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$159

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.29
Potential profit: $299.29
User PnL: -$198.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.08
Potential profit: $298.08
User PnL: -$58.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.2
Potential profit: $208.2
User PnL: -$23.84

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$104

Magic position

Magic vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$124

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.3

Kings position

Kings vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $40.24
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $942.05

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

Lakers position

76ers vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.72

Pistons position

Nuggets vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

76ers position

76ers vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.63

No position

Will England qualify from Group B?

Ends Dec 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4570166.52x
User PnL: $59.12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 727971.09x
User PnL: $1.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022?

Ends Jul 22, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64.9% 49.96 shares
Pistons vs. Hornets

Pistons 97% 99.82 shares
76ers vs. Pacers

Pacers 8% 188.96 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

No 93% 1,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up 51% 96.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up 53% 96.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up 56% 56.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Up 21.8% 107.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Up 72% 100.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Up 67% 97.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Up 60% 97.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Up 9% 73.75 shares