No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
BigLikeHorse
0x7167396207c5427699c599bfb4a7133d48d3dcd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $717.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $126.83
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $723.94
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $903.89
- Potential profit
- $903.89
- User PnL
- -$134.75
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.22
- Potential profit
- $186.22
- User PnL
- -$42.08
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
BC.Game Esports position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.84
- Potential profit
- $19.84
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.52
- Potential profit
- $14.52
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.71
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.55
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.67
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.43
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.9
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.65
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.76
Spirit position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 95% 667.63 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 93% 1,324.49 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 37.7% 2.5 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 34.7% 73.16 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 33.4% 101.41 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 40% 216.24 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 40% 83.76 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 40% 216.24 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 40% 322.75 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 42% 33.19 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 40% 300 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 44% 56 shares