Yes position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
alebale
0x717111a47627254461412df6cecd697f9ba07af9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $420.35
- Realized PnL
- $625.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $24.55
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.75
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $18.89
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.66
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $23.83
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9.57
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.09
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $25.29
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.24
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.14
- Potential payout
- $984.01
- Potential profit
- $961.87
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.87
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $968
- Potential profit
- $951.06
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$13.07
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $856.97
- Potential profit
- $846.25
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.28
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $811
- Potential profit
- $792.75
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $28.8
- Potential payout
- $789.01
- Potential profit
- $760.21
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $27.21
- Potential payout
- $768.69
- Potential profit
- $741.48
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $594.58
- Potential profit
- $586.55
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $12.58
- Potential payout
- $588.01
- Potential profit
- $575.42
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $12.58
- Potential payout
- $588
- Potential profit
- $575.42
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.71
Finland position
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.72
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.49
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $38.19
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.77
Finland position
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.7
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.9
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $23.37
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.38
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $19.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.51
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.45
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.01x
- User PnL
- $18.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.49
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $16.33
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $15.49
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.46
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $15.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 20?Yes 13% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?Yes 13% 9.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?Yes 14% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?Yes 18% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?Yes 13% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?Yes 27% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Yes 34% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 19?Yes 29% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?Yes 13% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?Yes 18% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?Yes 13% 12 shares