Polymarket Trader

Jo7373

0x717a8b61716626a8f829bc4a7da122244ed1977c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $692.5
Realized PnL: -$378.31
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $285.26
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$292.73

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $239.29
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$213.71

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$33.48

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $33.72
Potential payout: $613.05
Potential profit: $579.33
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$82.28

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $583.33
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $96.57
Potential payout: $536.51
Potential profit: $439.94
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.73
Potential payout: $373.33
Potential profit: $341.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$33.87

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $274.07
Potential profit: $273.66
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$73.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.67

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $28.57

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.65

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$34.26

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$55.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.59

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175.27

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$280

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?

Yes 3.4% 471.84 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Yes 25.1% 797.56 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 24% 583.33 shares
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 24.3% 244.7 shares
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 14% 575 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

No 38% 121.05 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 15.8% 285 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 0.1% 733.33 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 24% 733.33 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 59.8% 394.44 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 78% 56.41 shares