Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$11.02
Polymarket Trader
flamme
0x7180b6a61d11f37b64588fcb282a1eef9b221cef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $924.5
- Potential profit
- $924.5
- User PnL
- -$33.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $823.99
- Potential profit
- $823.58
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.6
- Potential profit
- $611.6
- User PnL
- -$10.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.5
- Potential profit
- $523.5
- User PnL
- -$10.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.4
- Potential profit
- $356.4
- User PnL
- -$15.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.82
- Potential profit
- $354.82
- User PnL
- -$15.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302
- Potential profit
- $302
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.69
- Potential profit
- $293.69
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $286.15
- Potential profit
- $285.01
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.4
- Potential profit
- $207.4
- User PnL
- -$20.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.25
- Potential profit
- $191.25
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.99
- Potential profit
- $163.99
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $135.99
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $154.82
- Potential profit
- $154.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $151.72
- Potential profit
- $149.29
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$30.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.1
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.35
- Potential profit
- $133.35
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.07
- Potential profit
- $131.07
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.08
- Potential profit
- $126.08
- User PnL
- -$16.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $118.47
- Potential profit
- $115.33
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $118.19
- Potential profit
- $118.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.73
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $13.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?Yes 1.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?Yes 1% 20.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Yes 10% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?Yes 89% 20.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?Yes 3.1% 57.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 3% 105.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?Yes 1% 110.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 5% 34.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?Yes 26% 27.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?Yes 23.2% 37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?Yes 35% 36.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 7% 11.14 shares