Polymarket Trader

davedrake

0x7183776e405307f7c51ce12c5a833d557217a24a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.4K
Realized PnL: $884.47
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $10.43K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$402.4

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $719.81
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $11.18K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$212.18

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.86K
User PnL: -$260.99

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $148.21
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.71K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$100.79

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.85K
User PnL: -$402.99

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.85K
User PnL: -$639.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $776.1
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.07K
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$242.89

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $799.66
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.05K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$515.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $929.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.8%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $7.72K
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$88.75

EYEBALLERS position

Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.33K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: $3.33K

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$788.03

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $607.39
Potential payout: $656.64
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $107.39

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $225.04
Potential payout: $459.27
Potential profit: $234.23
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$74.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.76

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.46

No position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.5

No position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.86

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.07

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.97

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.02

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

No position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$76.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

EYEBALLERS 60% 8,336.83 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Up 41.1% 1,915.14 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 55.4% 582.91 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 11,857.14 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 11,863.64 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 11,833.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 11,852.94 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 11,851.85 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 11,644.48 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 11,848.84 shares