Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.03K
- Potential profit
- $12.03K
- User PnL
- -$299.71
Polymarket Trader
0x718E040e7A5B5673cde1617951dC9Ed034003EF9-1769279188705
0x718e040e7a5b5673cde1617951dc9ed034003ef9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.54K
- Realized PnL
- $14.13K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.88K
- User PnL
- -$210.88
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $349.65
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.08K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$71.18
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$249.16
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $408.15
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$84.21
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$49.83
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$32.87
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $71.57
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$170.96
Yes position
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $998.9
- Potential profit
- $998.9
- User PnL
- -$89.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $880
- Potential profit
- $880
- User PnL
- -$14.96
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $742.46
- Potential profit
- $742.46
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $257.58
- Potential payout
- $620.68
- Potential profit
- $363.1
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$46.55
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$142.5
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385
- Potential profit
- $385
- User PnL
- -$150.15
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67K
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $768.48
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $405.4
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $280.87
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.71
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.28
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.95
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.16
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.83
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.64
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.1
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$77.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$122.36
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$127.37
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$221.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes 3% 2,136.36 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 49% 467.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 5% 8,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 14.4% 1,230.52 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 4.9% 420 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 4.8% 5.25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 14.6% 8.73 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 25% 2,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?Yes 2.1% 9,881.95 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 14,944.13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 6,055.74 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 5,229.16 shares