Yes position
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.91K
- Potential profit
- $13.91K
- User PnL
- -$293.79
Polymarket Trader
HoldenaintFolden
0x71afb689199cb3c531876d9ff9028817c0a0dd01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $571.39
- Realized PnL
- $6.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$658.18
Yes position
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- User PnL
- -$128.89
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$261.17
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$378.07
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $347.6
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$190.43
No position
Will Aitana Bonmatí win the 2025 Women’s Ballon d’Or?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$301.53
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$44.8
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $20.51
Yes position
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$827.99
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$40
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$450.5
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$242
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $540
- User PnL
- -$289.3
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450.83
- Potential profit
- $450.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $41.8
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$61.23
No position
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.14
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.2
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.49
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.28
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.33
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.05
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.68
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.11
Yes position
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.01
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.57
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.2
No position
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.6
No position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.78
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.55
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.48
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.9
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.01
Yes position
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.35
No position
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.15
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 16% 30 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 16% 159.35 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 15% 10 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 50 shares
- Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No 91.7% 15.29 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 2,500 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 17% 5 shares
- Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes 14.8% 15.17 shares
- Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes 14.9% 500 shares
- Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes 14.9% 500 shares
- Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes 14.9% 500 shares
- Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Yes 14.8% 8.68 shares