Polymarket Trader

LeonMusk

0x71b1e39cd44878c76074af783c8065210e41ac2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.7
Realized PnL: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$26.91

Yes position

Will 4 quarterbacks be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $489.97
Potential profit: $489.97
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$13.14

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $265
User PnL: -$2.55

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$8.55

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$3.95

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.98
Potential profit: $219.98
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5.98

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3.55

76ers position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$10.7

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.1
Potential profit: $111.1
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.99
Potential profit: $104.99
User PnL: -$8.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.3
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.48

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.3
Potential profit: $95.3
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$6.37

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.99
Potential profit: $86.99
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.98
Potential profit: $84.98
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$3.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured by Sunday?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.27

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.8

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.42

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.38

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.57

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.08

Ohio St position

Will Ohio State beat Notre Dame by 9 or more points?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100K on June 23 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.05

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.24

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.65

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.75

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.59

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.21

No position

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.19

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.55

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 19?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Chile" or "New Zealand" or "Albania" in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.09

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.15

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week? (October 27 - November 2)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Yes 27% 4.76 shares
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Yes 26.7% 30 shares
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?

Yes 39% 5 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 24?

No 17.3% 20 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 33% 3.27 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 23?

No 4.5% 29.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 23?

No 4.5% 29.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 23?

No 47% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 23?

No 47.1% 5.87 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 23?

No 24.4% 15 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 22 2026?

Yes 31% 25 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Yes 18% 10 shares