No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $52.55
Polymarket Trader
wai.live
@Amazing_fellow1
0x71c4d5421f658aa81bf6b4ef78860ba301de4246
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.65
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.86
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.94
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91.8% 1,208.06 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 57% 1.75 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 91.9% 16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96.6% 1,060.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 1,060.49 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 73% 248.92 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 65% 995.38 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 88.2% 732.53 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83% 118.07 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83% 602.41 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 39% 1,000 shares