Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.79
- Potential profit
- $559.79
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Polymarket Trader
Creator4983
0x71cbe2b90cdaaa1f5f14bbec2cec3e61305654e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.15
- Realized PnL
- $171.55
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.55
- Potential profit
- $313.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.73
- Potential profit
- $225.73
- User PnL
- -$30.42
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.48
- Potential profit
- $139.48
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.96
- Potential profit
- $107.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kamala Harris divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.59
- Potential profit
- $75.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.65
- Potential profit
- $62.65
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.8%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $40.73
- Multiplier
- 2.87x
- User PnL
- $16.78
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.33
- Potential profit
- $59.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.51
- Potential profit
- $55.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $45.19
- Potential profit
- $42.82
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.98
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.96
No position
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.03
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.94
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.29
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.45
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 45.19 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 94.5% 2.43 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes 0.1% 2,405.85 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes 0.8% 1,918.07 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes 8.9% 288.17 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Yes 2.9% 139.48 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes 11.1% 17.98 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 12% 33.33 shares
- Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 6.8% 58.82 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 13% 30.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 82.4% 59.14 shares