Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $158
- User PnL
- -$14.72
Polymarket Trader
dawi369
0x71e115a71baeeba46fbf4450e138a66ed65201e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$42.93
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.14
- Potential profit
- $133.14
- User PnL
- -$106.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown 4% 118 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown 25% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 80% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 28% 5 shares
- EU dissolves before 2027?Yes 3.5% 374.47 shares
- EU dissolves before 2027?Yes 3.8% 374.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes 4.9% 215.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes 9.6% 215.08 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 18% 114.42 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 19% 114.42 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 66.6% 32.65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No 93% 26.22 shares