Polymarket Trader

ObserverInterface

0x71e19a25994b4aff0bf071f8c056af7a058f6bdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.82K
Realized PnL: -$301.97
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $379.47

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $63.45
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$85.05

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $799.96
User PnL: -$127.99

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.65
Potential profit: $777.65
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $638
Potential profit: $628.11
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$189.8

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $299.48
Potential payout: $520.83
Potential profit: $221.35
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $49.48

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $359.71
Potential profit: $351.62
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$41.91

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $299.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $99.75

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.28
Potential profit: $187.28
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $23.39
Potential payout: $141.78
Potential profit: $118.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$26.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $73.69
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$26.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.86

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.57

No position

Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.64

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.75

Yes position

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$94.16

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.92

No position

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 31% 1,410.25 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 30% 973.97 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 39% 76.92 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 36% 55.56 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 13.9% 359.71 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 34.8% 86.23 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

No 28.3% 777.65 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

No 4% 231.22 shares
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Yes 0.4% 1,464.28 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.4% 270.27 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 91.5% 256.41 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 31.3% 638 shares