Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $372.65K
- Potential payout
- $373.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- $29.34K
Polymarket Trader
pako
0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $584.04K
- Realized PnL
- $672.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $86.35K
- Potential payout
- $129.86K
- Potential profit
- $43.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.15K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.67K
- Potential profit
- $61.67K
- User PnL
- -$6.19K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $40.47K
- Potential payout
- $43.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$347.07
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $27.1K
- Potential payout
- $27.21K
- Potential profit
- $108.82
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $19.11K
- Potential payout
- $25.77K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $12.22K
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28K
- Potential profit
- $21.28K
- User PnL
- -$16.94K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.42K
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.21K
- Potential profit
- $14.21K
- User PnL
- -$387.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $3.94K
- Potential payout
- $13.82K
- Potential profit
- $9.88K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$5.15K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $13.46K
- Potential profit
- $9.08K
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.25K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $652.58
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.39K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- User PnL
- -$4.41K
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $5.05K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $475.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $127.35
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $4.24K
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $242.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $883.35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $666.63
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $408.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$191.92
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$443.75
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $15.47
- User PnL
- $136.94
Yes position
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$18.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$431.62
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$401.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.86K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.2K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.27K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.69K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.73K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.18K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.62K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29K
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $7.39K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 62% 115 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 37% 93.91 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 35,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 56.1% 1,781.42 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 1,562.5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 1,000 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No 95.1% 76.1 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 68% 577.94 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 68% 7,999.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 94% 10,365.04 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 24% 1,050 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 67% 3,934.25 shares