Polymarket Trader

dawsonxiong2

0x71ee2bf5a9149ff6e713b0848305ed33fd2bfb9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.94
Realized PnL: $5.61
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $38.79
Potential payout: $127.19
Potential profit: $88.4
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$11.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $60.36
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$6.57

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $53.66
Potential profit: $34.55
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.42
Potential profit: $46.42
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.95
Potential profit: $7.95
User PnL: -$5.88

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 53.66 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?

No 39.3% 127.19 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes 47.4% 60.36 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 74% 7.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Up 53.9% 46.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 97% 7.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 69% 7.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 38% 16.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Down 50% 10 shares