Polymarket Trader

PanKenny

0x71f10bc6beb21dd2cc8c62df471a596e275cefe2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $607.67
Realized PnL: $292.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $220
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $23

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $18

No position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $97.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $58.99
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.63

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

No position

Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.85

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

No position

Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 47.3% 35 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 10 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 93% 100 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.5% 20 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 44% 20 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 55% 20 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 54% 20 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 47% 20 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 59% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 50.9% 9.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 49% 1.98 shares