Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.16
- Potential profit
- $150.16
- User PnL
- -$133.74
Polymarket Trader
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0x71f43469d50059a7f0862a0a84493e75b2e0e88f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.2
- Realized PnL
- $392.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.01
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.01
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39
BC.Game Esports position
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 55.4% 9.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown 51% 75.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown 88% 20.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown 90% 40.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown 83% 10.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown 65% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown 74% 20.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown 77% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 90% 10.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 77% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 96% 30.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 80% 10 shares