No position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $52.08
- Potential payout
- $52.53
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $0.08
Polymarket Trader
JOKOLO
0x7208821f70ede1aee0d05873d2f3038cf50eb9f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.37
- Realized PnL
- $48.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $2.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
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No position
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Lunchly recall in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US bank failure by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WI
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US bank failure before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will 538 call 44 states correctly?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Kamala Sun Belt swing state sweep?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Kyrie Irving opt in to his player option?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Calin Georgescu arrested in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Young Thug released by Friday?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No 74.6% 2.68 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No 99.6% 8.04 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97.8% 10.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No 90% 2.5 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 96.8% 2.07 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?No 93% 3.23 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99% 52.53 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 81.8% 10.98 shares
- US bank failure by December 31?No 96.2% 7.05 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares