Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $108.83
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$414.16
Polymarket Trader
GeoPolArb
0x7214d620656a2eca5188c244e19cee2125a0433b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306.71
- Realized PnL
- $11.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.37
- Potential profit
- $465.37
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $197.87
- Potential payout
- $425.53
- Potential profit
- $227.66
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.31
- Potential profit
- $260.31
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $932.05
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122K July 21–27?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.19
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.31
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.35
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on August 10 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.93
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.38
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 14 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.29
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.47
120k position
Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.09
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.76
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.88
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on August 12 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 11?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,600 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.57
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.78
Yes position
Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.25
Yes position
Bitcoin above $116K on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 43% 539.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 43% 465.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 204.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 137.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 92% 194.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 275.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 425.53 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 82% 354.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 137.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 136.36 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No 66% 110.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 42% 238.1 shares