Polymarket Trader

Gaolang

0x722ed6d4d8bbb7145536f76dd326d8e145dd51af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $523.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $361.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38.6
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.21
Potential profit: $384.21
User PnL: -$14.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $210.27
Potential payout: $316.19
Potential profit: $105.92
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$35.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $82.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $167.38
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $47.63

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $45.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $204.13
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.23
Potential profit: $249.23
User PnL: -$16.2

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $230.95
Potential payout: $237.48
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.26

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $219.65
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.65

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $186.79
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $91.67
User PnL: -$6.95

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.48
Potential profit: $31.48
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $12.65
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.35

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.04

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.5

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.26

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.57

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.87

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $13.72

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

USDT depeg in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 249.23 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.9% 200.4 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.8% 200.4 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 160 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 27% 31.48 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 17% 12.65 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

No 99.5% 200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?

No 99.6% 1,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

No 99.8% 2,063.97 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

No 99.5% 317.59 shares