Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
VINCENT-235
0x72336bbc55fd62b3079290542b489f47a724e023
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.3
- Realized PnL
- -$83.16
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.7
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $31.22
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.55
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $8.12
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 6?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 6?Yes 6.4% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?Yes 0.1% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?Yes 34% 12.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?Yes 95.9% 6.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 6?Yes 9.9% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 6?Yes 6.1% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 6?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 6?Yes 91% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 6?Yes 0.3% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?Yes 15.9% 6.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 6?Yes 8.4% 5 shares