Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $29.49
- Potential payout
- $207.07
- Potential profit
- $177.58
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $14.49
Polymarket Trader
BigMoon-149
0x724d6f2bf01e87728de8111511b06517eea5a7cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $491.42
- Realized PnL
- $800.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $160.16
- Potential payout
- $194.14
- Potential profit
- $33.97
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $20.16
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $145.45
- Potential payout
- $154.32
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $89.33
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $56.96
- Potential payout
- $78.57
- Potential profit
- $21.61
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $24.67
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.18
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $12.69
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $25.77
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$12.31
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $27.15
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.45
No position
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.42
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.48
Yes position
Trudeau resigns before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.2
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.19
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.59
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Faithless elector in US election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
Yes position
Trump transgender sports ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 40% 4.93 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 45% 44.44 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 7.2% 207.07 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?No 53% 47.17 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 16% 74.07 shares
- Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 74.2% 13.47 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?Yes 37.6% 53.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No 80.4% 31.09 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes 84% 39.98 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No 82% 30.49 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No 86% 40.71 shares