Polymarket Trader

0x724e27DA5f23dBf186Da3fCfF98c88aC6AC08c4d-1762199900040

0x724e27da5f23dbf186da3fcff98c88ac6ac08c4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $219.12
Realized PnL: $614.87
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $82.31
Potential payout: $633.12
Potential profit: $550.81
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$67.69

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $93.82
Potential payout: $473.82
Potential profit: $380
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$115.18

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $46.2
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$31.8

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$26

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $29.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $7.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.2

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.42

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.9

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.64

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

No position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.16

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 28% 178.57 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 40.9% 366.42 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 54.9% 107.4 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 54% 263.43 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 19% 256.88 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Yes 36% 133.56 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 32% 75 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 52% 50 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4% 150 shares
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

No 99.3% 40 shares