Yes position
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Polymarket Trader
jacob - 24817
0x725d6e239a94bd0de2ebc7e035f213873c510c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.8
- Realized PnL
- $18.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.45
- Potential profit
- $41.45
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.84
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
Ends Jun 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021?
Ends May 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 3347355.06x
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 388943614.08x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
Ends Nov 8, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6629396.23x
- User PnL
- $886.64
Yes position
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.27
Yes position
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6846426.12x
- User PnL
- $804.17
Yes position
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 119789284.60x
- User PnL
- $762.82
No position
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?
Ends May 8, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6733179.52x
- User PnL
- $755.36
No position
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
Ends Jun 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6363989.77x
- User PnL
- $729.23
No position
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8153298.18x
- User PnL
- $728.31
Yes position
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021?
Ends May 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4870809.58x
- User PnL
- $725.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 53022858.74x
- User PnL
- $615.38
No position
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
Ends Jun 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.64
Yes position
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
Ends May 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 16988283.95x
- User PnL
- $599.65
Yes position
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022?
Ends Apr 28, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.5
No position
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 9448004.58x
- User PnL
- $588.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?
Ends May 8, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.37
No position
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
Ends Jun 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6366976.40x
- User PnL
- $565.38
No position
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.39
No position
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
Ends Aug 9, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5990028.21x
- User PnL
- $507.62
No position
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
Ends Mar 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7599832.10x
- User PnL
- $486.07
Yes position
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account?
Ends Jun 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.21
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?
Ends Jun 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6016460.33x
- User PnL
- $453.97
No position
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars?
Ends Apr 25, 2021- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $442.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update