Polymarket Trader

Maoritzio

0x7264b0b0bb2ca74e9ff49f5a63c38ca866418583

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $427.7
Realized PnL: $6.9K
Win rate: 39.1%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.59K
Potential profit: $10.59K
User PnL: -$21.17

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $377.24
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: $127.24

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$57.42

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$174.87

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.91
Potential profit: $667.91
User PnL: -$432.9

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $44.8
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $275.2
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $264.64
Potential profit: $258.98
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.42
Potential profit: $162.42
User PnL: -$24.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.56
Potential profit: $85.56
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.86
Potential profit: $13.86
User PnL: -$2.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17K

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.88

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.16

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.53

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.74

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.59

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$83.31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130.75

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$139.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$235.8

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$250.67

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$317.52

Yes position

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$453.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 10% 320 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 5.4% 4,600.46 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

0.8% 687.7 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.8% 5,340.33 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 130.01 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.4% 20 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 19 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 1.8% 1,355.25 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 3,029.98 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 625 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 10,585 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 3.3% 300 shares